The Melbourne derby in the Big Bash League is always an electrifying spectacle, and this Saturday evening’s clash under the MCG lights promises to be another thrilling encounter!
Our prediction favors Melbourne Stars to emerge victorious!
Tournament: Big Bash League, 2024-25
Format: t20
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground, Richmond, Australia
Toss Prediction: To Bowl
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| Bookie | Melbourne Stars | Melbourne Renegades |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| 1.90 |
The Big Bash League standings have taken an unexpected turn with league leaders Sydney Sixers stumbling in their recent outing while the previously winless Melbourne Stars secured their first victory of the season. This has created an intriguingly tight competition!
As we approach Match 23, the Sixers maintain their top position with eight points, but face fierce competition from Perth Scorchers, Sydney Thunder, and Hobart Hurricanes, all just two points behind.
Both Melbourne franchises currently occupy positions in the lower half of the standings, though the Renegades remain within striking distance, just two points behind the second-placed Scorchers. The Stars’ convincing victory over Brisbane Heat in their New Year’s Day clash has injected fresh momentum into the tournament, and another win here could dramatically compress the points table.
The Stars demonstrated remarkable resilience in their pursuit of Brisbane Heat’s 150-run target, securing victory with nearly two overs remaining – a feat that seemed improbable when they were reeling at 14/3 in the fourth over’s opening delivery!
The game-changing fourth-wicket alliance between Dan Lawrence (who remained unbeaten on 64) and skipper Marcus Stoinis (contributing 62) proved pivotal in launching the Stars’ campaign, even overshadowing Glenn Maxwell’s golden duck dismissal. This successful chase should instill considerable confidence in their batting unit, which already boasts impressive performances from Ben Duckett and Sam Harper this season.
On the bowling front, captain Stoinis was the sole bowler who couldn’t secure a wicket against Brisbane Heat, while Joel Paris’s opening spell yielded excellent figures of 1/20 across his four-over quota on New Year’s Day, setting him up perfectly for this derby encounter.
Ben Duckett, Thomas Rogers, Sam Harper (wk), Dan Lawrence, Marcus Stoinis (c), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Usama Mir, Mark Steketee, Joel Paris, Peter Siddle
| Batsmen | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Lawrence | 64 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 168.42 |
| Marcus Stoinis | 62 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 129.17 |
| Sam Harper | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
| Bowlers | O | M | R | W | Econ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Steketee | 4 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.5 |
| Joel Paris | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.0 |
| Dan Lawrence | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 |
The Renegades suffered their second consecutive setback in Match 20, falling to Adelaide Strikers by five wickets with 17 deliveries remaining at the Docklands Stadium.
While the match’s outcome was effectively sealed before the winning runs were struck in the 18th over’s first ball, there were promising moments during their batting innings, particularly when opener Josh Brown was in full flow, suggesting the Renegades’ potential to dominate matches. Their batting lineup features explosive white-ball specialists, and they consistently back their top-order quartet of Brown, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Tim Seifert, and Jacob Bethell to deliver impactful performances.
Tom Rogers and Adam Zampa enter this Melbourne derby with confidence after claiming two wickets apiece against Adelaide Strikers, while Jacob Bethell’s left-arm spin could prove to be an unexpected strategic advantage in this encounter.
Josh Brown, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Tim Seifert (wk), Jacob Bethell, Mackenzie Harvey, Laurie Evans, Will Sutherland (c), Fergus O’Neill, Tom Rogers, Adam Zampa, Kane Richardson
| Batsmen | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Brown | 66 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 160.98 |
| Jacob Bethell | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 100 |
| Will Sutherland | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 163.64 |
| Bowlers | O | M | R | W | Econ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Rogers | 4 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 |
| Adam Zampa | 4 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 |
| Jacob Bethell | 3.1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.32 |
| HR | Temp | Rain | W. speed | W. direction | Clouds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00h | 30 mm | 5.69 k/h | From: NW | 96% | |
| 03h | 0 mm | 6.23 k/h | From: WNW | 4% | |
| 06h | 10 mm | 5.61 k/h | From: WNW | 4% | |
| 09h | 20 mm | 5.19 k/h | From: WNW | 0% | |
| 12h | 20 mm | 4.36 k/h | From: WNW | 0% | |
| 15h | 10 mm | 4.81 k/h | From: WNW | 2% | |
| 18h | 10 mm | 4.7 k/h | From: WNW | 4% | |
| 21h | 20 mm | 4.15 k/h | From: WNW | 1% |
Melbourne’s Saturday forecast indicates cloudy conditions with temperatures soaring to 36 degrees. As the evening progresses and the floodlights take effect, temperatures will remain above 30 degrees throughout the match duration.
The iconic MCG stands as one of cricket’s most awe-inspiring venues, and besides the prestigious Boxing Day Test, participating in a Melbourne derby before a massive crowd creates an unforgettable atmosphere. The pitch is expected to favor batsmen, with teams likely to target scores exceeding 180.
Given that both Melbourne teams secured victories while bowling first in their previous encounters, we anticipate both captains will opt to field first should they win the toss.
MLS 54% MLR 46%
While momentum shifts rapidly in T20 cricket, current form suggests contrasting trajectories for these teams – the Renegades appear to be losing steam while the Stars seem to be gathering momentum. Consequently, we project another victory for the Melbourne Stars, despite their current bottom-table position.
Our prediction favors Melbourne Stars to emerge victorious!
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